WWE Elimination Chamber 2026 is already shaping up to be chaotic — and now betting markets are putting numbers on just how wild things could get.

A new novelty prediction market created by DuelBits Predict is offering odds on unexpected moments that could unfold during next weekend’s Elimination Chamber event. And yes, that includes a potential Vince McMahon return.

According to the market, the odds of McMahon appearing at the event sit at +1,400, which translates to an implied probability of 6.67 percent. Not likely — but not impossible.

A Hall of Famer showing up is considered far more realistic. That outcome currently sits at -143, giving it a 58.82 percent implied probability. In other words, the market believes there’s a better-than-not chance a WWE legend walks through the curtain.

Logan Paul stirring controversy is also seen as a strong possibility. The odds of him using PRIME-branded brass knuckles during the event are listed at -125, which equals a 55.56 percent probability.

The market also suggests there’s a 50 percent chance that a Chicago Bears, Bulls, Cubs, Blackhawks, or White Sox player will be present, fitting given the event’s location.

Celebrity involvement in a match — in any capacity — sits at +150, giving it a 40 percent implied probability.

Other long-shot scenarios include genuine blood being visible during the event at +250 (28.57 percent), a botched pyro or production error at +600 (14.29 percent), and Triple H firing a Superstar during the show at +1,000 (9.09 percent).

Perhaps the most shocking number outside of McMahon’s odds? A WWE fan being struck by a Superstar during the event also sits at +1,400, matching the 6.67 percent probability assigned to a Vince return.

While these markets are speculative, they offer an interesting look at how unpredictable WWE Elimination Chamber can be — and how much fans expect surprises.

Full breakdown of the novelty odds for WWE Elimination Chamber 2026:

EventOddsImplied Probability (%)
A Hall of Famer to make an appearance-14358.82%
Logan Paul to use PRIME branded brass knuckles-12555.56%
Chicago Bears, Bulls, Cubs, Blackhawks or White Sox player present+10050.00%
Celebrity involved in a match (any capacity)+15040.00%
Genuine blood visible during the event+25028.57%
Botched pyro or production error on broadcast+60014.29%
Triple H fires a Superstar during the event+1,0009.09%
WWE fan struck by a Superstar+1,4006.67%
Vince McMahon returns to WWE+1,4006.67%

Do you think Vince McMahon actually shows up, or is that 6.67 percent still too generous? Let us know which prediction you think has the best chance of hitting and drop your thoughts below.

Steve Carrier is the founder of Ringside News and has been reporting on pro wrestling since 1997. His stories have been featured on TMZ, Forbes, Bleacher Report, and more.

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